Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 67.243730 76.027999 85.015463 94.865469 105.325328 116.071594 127.916906
2025-11-02 53.786392 66.385395 79.867507 95.231850 112.128308 130.028050 150.312121
2025-11-09 44.954807 59.493224 75.597441 94.478231 115.750349 138.748172 165.273754
2025-11-16 38.676074 54.589322 72.771800 94.614361 119.720037 147.307313 179.567223
2025-11-23 33.026090 49.744895 69.438897 93.645714 121.979815 153.566672 190.947072
2025-11-30 29.485551 47.058406 68.313497 94.944214 126.579184 162.251275 204.860301
2025-12-07 26.608637 44.898979 67.579117 96.493965 131.294591 170.928108 218.647022
2025-12-14 22.999731 41.438900 64.966225 95.545460 132.873779 175.836798 227.996947
2025-12-21 19.478433 37.751311 61.798612 93.688104 133.178674 179.109842 235.330659
2025-12-28 18.476505 37.482605 62.971785 97.177789 139.890785 189.868316 251.324378
2026-01-04 16.974303 36.344830 62.897475 99.012420 144.527548 198.134977 264.385829
2026-01-11 14.799822 33.996120 61.051458 98.463821 146.142888 202.740432 273.101380
2026-01-18 12.812692 31.761726 59.261468 97.933197 147.767168 207.378571 281.912549
2026-01-25 11.366128 30.244182 58.374150 98.517095 150.740339 213.615845 292.608837
2026-02-01 9.689232 28.141282 56.519979 97.711489 151.878732 217.569267 300.538694
2026-02-08 8.442215 26.632962 55.429236 97.856904 154.170598 222.887445 310.069668
2026-02-15 7.064786 24.691774 53.574358 96.868537 154.938035 226.286780 317.257956
2026-02-22 6.340773 23.912321 53.423989 98.192067 158.668250 233.318773 328.815179
2026-03-01 5.736214 23.293852 53.478033 99.771207 162.713155 240.731162 340.830769
2026-03-08 4.714966 21.620871 51.775465 98.804724 163.371388 243.899662 347.671834
2026-03-15 3.672967 19.666145 49.489961 96.911920 162.735677 245.399652 352.438906
2026-03-22 3.582063 20.001117 50.975460 100.467954 169.353388 256.009524 368.350890
2026-03-29 3.249078 19.664807 51.312170 102.337046 173.710172 263.773690 380.782912